Written and published on 3 March 2020

Dear Ones,

I took a look at the World Health Organization daily situation reports for the Coronavirus (COVID-19) today …

Link: “Coronavirus Disease (COVID-2019) Situation Reports,” bky World Health Organization (WHO) … https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports ..

I see there is a decline in confirmed cases of the virus in the day prior to 2 March 2020 for Hubei, China. According to WHO, the virus broke out there on 31 December 2020. We have 42 WHO reports from 20 January 2020 through 2 March 2020.

Thus we have 20 unreported days and 42 days reported on by WHO, since the outbreak in Hubei. That is a total of 62 days.

If the decline in confirmed cases in Hubei continues in the days to come, then the people of that city will have seen the worst of the outbreak last week. Should this be so, then we can anticipate the epidemic will tail off in Hubei over an equal period of time, which is to say, an additional 62 days.

Thus, in this reasonable scenario, the outbreak will have lasted 4 months in Hubei. Taking that as a touchstone for the duration of the epidemic in other countries, I suggest that we lay in a 4-month supply of food and water supplies (or means of disinfecting water, in case the local water supply might be compromised).

That will allow us to avoid interacting with restaurant and supermarket personnel and customers who might be infected. As well, it will suffice in case food supplies become scarce (as have face masks globally).

Food needs can be supplied at reasonable cost through purchasing big sacks of rice and of beans, which I feel ought to be kept from rodents by being placed in durable plastic storage bins.

The food can be purchased at Walmart or Smart and Final Iris. It is difficult to find durable plastic storage bins that fasten securely enough to deter rodents; Walmart or Target might have these. Of course, sturdier storage, such as metal containers with metal lids, would be better, but these may be available only in rural areas.

For more on the topic of survival see …

Link: “Pioneer Skills: Planning for Tough Times Ahead,” by Alice B. Clagett … published on 19 September 2017; revised … https://wp.me/p2Rkym-7H3 ..

Link: “On Planning with Family for a Natural Disaster,” by Alice B. Clagett … published on 11 September 2017 … https://wp.me/p2Rkym-7Db ..

In love, light and joy,
I Am of the Stars

P.S. It might be good, as well, to purchase a supply of vitamin C, which might help bolster the immune system. My preference is buffered vitamin C powder, which I find to be more agreeable to my gastrointestinal tract. If that is not available (as with the face masks) then whatever may be had must suffice.

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community health, coronavirus, health, COVID-19, survival, sustainable living,